Florida Gulf Coast 
W-L: ( 3-18) PR = 89.6563
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
205 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 9
210 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 3- 5
213 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 8
214 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 3
217 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 2
220 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 1- 4
220 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 2- 3
226 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 3- 5
226 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 3-12
227 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 7-10
227 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 1- 9
303 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 0- 8
304 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 5-14
307 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0- 7
307 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 3- 2
308 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 4- 5
318 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 9
325 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 2- 3
415 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 6- 9
422 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 0- 9
505 H Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 2- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Charlotte 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.10
210 H Kansas 3- 5 -2 -5 + 2.79
213 H UL Monroe 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.76
214 H UL Monroe 1- 3 -2 -2 0.24
217 H Florida Atlantic 3- 2 1 -4 ++ 5.26
220 H Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 -3 0.43
220 H Louisville 2- 3 -1 -5 ++ 4.15
226 A Florida State 3- 5 -2 -9 +++ 6.56
226 A Florida State 3-12 -9 -9 -0.44
227 H Rutgers 7-10 -3 -3 0.05
227 A Rutgers 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.47
303 A FIU 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.27
304 A Florida Atlantic 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.26
307 H Troy 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -4.64
307 H Troy 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.36
308 H Troy 4- 5 -1 -2 1.36
318 H South Florida 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.96
325 A UCF 2- 3 -1 -7 +++ 6.34
415 A Florida 6- 9 -3 -9 ++ 5.78
422 A South Florida 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.47
505 H Austin Peay 2- 1 1 3 -1.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Charlotte 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.10
303 A FIU 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.27
307 H Troy 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -4.64
318 H South Florida 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.96
422 A South Florida 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.47
213 H UL Monroe 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.76
227 A Rutgers 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.47
304 A Florida Atlantic 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.26
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
226 A Florida State 3- 5 -2 -9 +++ 6.56
325 A UCF 2- 3 -1 -7 +++ 6.34
217 H Florida Atlantic 3- 2 1 -4 ++ 5.26
220 H Louisville 2- 3 -1 -5 ++ 4.15
415 A Florida 6- 9 -3 -9 ++ 5.78
210 H Kansas 3- 5 -2 -5 + 2.79
307 H Troy 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.36
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 1- 9 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 1.20 -5.01
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 3- 5 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 1.20 -3.27
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 3- 8 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 1.20 -4.80
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 1- 3 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 1.20 -4.80
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 1.20 32.13
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 1- 4 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 1.20 -4.09
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 2- 3 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 1.20 -3.05
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 3- 5 -2.42 16.95 0.74 1.20 -1.01
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 3-12 -2.42 16.95 0.74 1.20 -1.01
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 7-10 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 1.20 -4.32
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 1- 9 -6.46 12.91 0.74 1.20 -3.43
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 0- 8 -7.26 12.11 0.74 1.20 -3.91
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 5-14 -5.24 14.13 0.74 1.20 -2.70
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 0- 7 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 1.20 -4.73
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 3- 2 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 1.20 27.57
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 4- 5 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 1.20 -4.73
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 9 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 1.20 -4.32
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 2- 3 -3.65 15.72 0.74 1.20 -1.75
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 6- 9 -2.21 17.16 0.74 1.20 -0.88
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 0- 9 -6.46 12.91 0.74 1.20 -3.43
3 H Austin Peay ( 0- 7, 87.4) 2- 1 -12.45 6.92 -0.74 1.20 14.82
------
13.28
|
winning pts = 74.5203 losing points = -61.2428
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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