UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Florida Gulf C
  
Florida Gulf Coast    
W-L: ( 3-18) PR = 89.6563

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 9 210 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 3- 5 213 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 8 214 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 3 217 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 2 220 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 1- 4 220 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 2- 3 226 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 3- 5 226 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 3-12 227 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 7-10 227 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 1- 9 303 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 0- 8 304 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 5-14 307 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0- 7 307 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 3- 2 308 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 4- 5 318 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 9 325 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 2- 3 415 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 6- 9 422 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 0- 9 505 H Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 2- 1

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 H Charlotte               1- 9      -8    -2    ---   -6.10
   210 H Kansas                  3- 5      -2    -5    +      2.79
   213 H UL Monroe               3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.76
   214 H UL Monroe               1- 3      -2    -2           0.24
   217 H Florida Atlantic        3- 2       1    -4    ++     5.26
   220 H Wisconsin               1- 4      -3    -3           0.43
   220 H Louisville              2- 3      -1    -5    ++     4.15
   226 A Florida State           3- 5      -2    -9    +++    6.56
   226 A Florida State           3-12      -9    -9          -0.44
   227 H Rutgers                 7-10      -3    -3           0.05
   227 A Rutgers                 1- 9      -8    -5    -     -3.47
   303 A FIU                     0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.27
   304 A Florida Atlantic        5-14      -9    -6    -     -3.26
   307 H Troy                    0- 7      -7    -2    --    -4.64
   307 H Troy                    3- 2       1    -2    +      3.36
   308 H Troy                    4- 5      -1    -2           1.36
   318 H South Florida           1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.96
   325 A UCF                     2- 3      -1    -7    +++    6.34
   415 A Florida                 6- 9      -3    -9    ++     5.78
   422 A South Florida           0- 9      -9    -5    --    -4.47
   505 H Austin Peay             2- 1       1     3          -1.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 H Charlotte               1- 9      -8    -2    ---   -6.10
   303 A FIU                     0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.27
   307 H Troy                    0- 7      -7    -2    --    -4.64
   318 H South Florida           1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.96
   422 A South Florida           0- 9      -9    -5    --    -4.47
   213 H UL Monroe               3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.76
   227 A Rutgers                 1- 9      -8    -5    -     -3.47
   304 A Florida Atlantic        5-14      -9    -6    -     -3.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Florida State           3- 5      -2    -9    +++    6.56
   325 A UCF                     2- 3      -1    -7    +++    6.34
   217 H Florida Atlantic        3- 2       1    -4    ++     5.26
   220 H Louisville              2- 3      -1    -5    ++     4.15
   415 A Florida                 6- 9      -3    -9    ++     5.78
   210 H Kansas                  3- 5      -2    -5    +      2.79
   307 H Troy                    3- 2       1    -2    +      3.36

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     1- 9       -7.60      11.77      -0.74         1.20            -5.01
   3 H Kansas          (34-24, 95.2)     3- 5       -4.71      14.66      -0.74         1.20            -3.27
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     3- 8       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         1.20            -4.80
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     1- 3       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         1.20            -4.80
   3 H Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     3- 2       -5.24      14.13      -0.74         1.20            32.13
   3 H Wisconsin       (32-22, 93.8)     1- 4       -6.07      13.30      -0.74         1.20            -4.09
   3 H Louisville      (45-15, 95.6)     2- 3       -4.35      15.02      -0.74         1.20            -3.05
   3 A Florida State   (52-10, 97.5)     3- 5       -2.42      16.95       0.74         1.20            -1.01
   3 A Florida State   (52-10, 97.5)     3-12       -2.42      16.95       0.74         1.20            -1.01
   3 H Rutgers         (28-27, 93.4)     7-10       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         1.20            -4.32
   3 A Rutgers         (28-27, 93.4)     1- 9       -6.46      12.91       0.74         1.20            -3.43
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     0- 8       -7.26      12.11       0.74         1.20            -3.91
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     5-14       -5.24      14.13       0.74         1.20            -2.70
   3 H Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     0- 7       -7.14      12.23      -0.74         1.20            -4.73
   3 H Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     3- 2       -7.14      12.23      -0.74         1.20            27.57
   3 H Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     4- 5       -7.14      12.23      -0.74         1.20            -4.73
   3 H South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)     1- 9       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         1.20            -4.32
   3 A UCF             (40-20, 96.2)     2- 3       -3.65      15.72       0.74         1.20            -1.75
   3 A Florida         (51-13, 97.7)     6- 9       -2.21      17.16       0.74         1.20            -0.88
   3 A South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)     0- 9       -6.46      12.91       0.74         1.20            -3.43
   3 H Austin Peay     ( 0- 7, 87.4)     2- 1      -12.45       6.92      -0.74         1.20            14.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        13.28

winning pts = 74.5203 losing points = -61.2428

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------